by J. Peter Murmann | Dec 5, 2022 | Books, Talks
Gerd Gigerenzer has written a wonderful new book How to Stay Smart in a Smart World: Why Human Intelligence Still Beats Algorithms.| It strikes me as an update of Dreyfus and Dreyfus 1992 book “What Computers still can’t do.” Below is a video...
by J. Peter Murmann | Sep 11, 2022 | Books
This is a very useful talk based on Gigerenzer’s book. Using the example weather forecasts he makes he explains that many people do know know why the relevant reference class is when we are told it rains with 30% proability. He also councils that we always need...
by J. Peter Murmann | Nov 14, 2021 | Books
Below is a great video summary of key ideas in Tetlock and Gardener’s book “Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction.”...
