Forecasting Strategy
  • Home
  • Prediction Markets
  • Team
  • Books
  • Interviews
  • Reports
Select Page
A Tinkerer’s Bot Beats Humans and Startups at Forecasting

A Tinkerer’s Bot Beats Humans and Startups at Forecasting

by Niklas Ungar | Oct 6, 2026 | Reports

For the first time, an AI has won the Metaculus Cup, a seasonal tournament in which hundreds of forecasters predict real-world events. In the round decided on September 5, other bots took second and fifth place, leaving humans third and fourth. The winning bot was...

Recent Posts

  • A Tinkerer’s Bot Beats Humans and Startups at Forecasting
  • Can Policymakers Trust Forecasters?
  • Amateur Gamblers Beating Wall Street Ph.D.s at Their Own Game
  • The Wall Street Man who saw the future
  • Following up on the revolution in weather forecasting: How Machine Learning might replace traditional weather models

Recent Comments

No comments to show.

Archives

  • October 2026
  • February 2026
  • January 2026
  • March 2025
  • September 2024
  • May 2024
  • February 2023
  • December 2022
  • September 2022
  • December 2021
  • November 2021

Categories

  • Books
  • Interviews
  • Reports
  • Talks
  • Uncategorized
  • Facebook
  • X
  • Instagram
  • RSS

Designed by Elegant Themes | Powered by WordPress