by Leon Bamesreiter | May 6, 2024 | Reports
Prediction markets and betting on a person’s believes about the future is not a phenomenon linked to the rise of the internet, but an activity dating back hundreds of years. The first confirmed accounts of such activities date back to 1503 when Italian merchants...
by J. Peter Murmann | Feb 27, 2023 | Reports
The Metacalculus prediting platform has published a very useful report, using both a group of superforecasters and a large group of forecasters, to make forecasts about key trends for the next 100 years. You download full report...
by J. Peter Murmann | Feb 26, 2023 | Reports
By Johann Peter Murmann and Benedikt Schuler How will the technological shift from internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) to battery electric vehicles (BEVs) change the architecture of the automotive industry? To explore this question, we systematically compare...